My Forecast as of 5/16/2013 at 8:38 AM

This Afternoon: Partly sunny skies with a high near 73.

Tonight: Mainly clear with a low near 43.

Friday: Partly sunny with a high near 70.

Friday Night: Mostly clear with a low near 48.

Saturday: Partly cloudy with a slight chance for an afternoon shower well South of Buffalo. High near 71.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy with a low near 53.

Sunday: Partly sunny with a high near 70.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy with a low near 56.

Monday: Partly sunny with a high near 80.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy with a low near 60.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy late with a shower or thunderstorm late. Chance for rain is near 40%

Tuesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms. Low near 58. Chance for rain is near 60%.

Wednesday: Shower and thunderstorms. High near 68. Chance for rain is near 50%.

Severe weather possible for Wednesday

Update coming later today...

I looked at the latest models for Wednesday next week and can see us getting a little dicy for the afternoon evening hours. Right now if it where to happen today we could get damaging winds excessive of 58 MPH and perhaps a tornado with some severe hail of 1inch diameter or larger. A big tornado outbreak is possible from Iowa to Kansas to Missouri on Sunday. For Monday and Tuesday a bit farther east. And it will be here in Western New York on Wednesday. More updates as later models come out.

7 Day Forecast as of 5/15/13 at 10:25 PM EDT

7-DAY FORECAST
Overnight Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Southwest wind around 8 mph.
Thursday Increasing clouds, with a high near 73. Southwest wind 13 to 18 mph.
Thursday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 42. Northwest wind 6 to 11 mph becoming light after midnight.
Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. North wind around 7 mph.
Friday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday Partly sunny, with a high near 73.
Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Sunday Partly sunny, with a high near 76.
Sunday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57.
Monday Partly sunny, with a high near 78.
Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61.
Tuesday A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58.
Wednesday A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Forecast As of 5/13/13 at 6:57 pm edt

HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS
Freeze Warning Hazardous Weather Outlook
7-DAY FORECAST
Tonight A slight chance of showers before 8pm. Patchy frost after 1am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming clear, with a low around 34. West wind 6 to 11 mph becoming light northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday Increasing clouds, with a high near 58. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night A chance of showers, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Southeast wind 8 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Wednesday A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 10am. Cloudy, with a high near 73. Breezy, with a south wind 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night A chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. West wind 7 to 14 mph becoming south after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
Thursday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 74.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53.
Saturday Partly sunny, with a high near 75.
Saturday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1241 PM EDT MON MAY 13 2013

NYZ001>006-010-011-013-014-019-085-141645-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1241 PM EDT MON MAY 13 2013

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

$$

Freeze Warning

Freeze Warning
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
354 PM EDT MON MAY 13 2013

NYZ001>006-010-011-013-014-019-085-140400-
/O.CON.KBUF.FZ.W.0001.130514T0400Z-130514T1200Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
354 PM EDT MON MAY 13 2013

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
EDT TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...MOST INLAND LOCATIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK AND AREAS
  SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...EXCLUDING WYOMING COUNTY...AND INTERIOR
  PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* IMPACTS...SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  DAMAGE OR KILL UNPROTECTED SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNED
AREA YOU SHOULD PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS
NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY
FROM THE COLD. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

Freeze Watch

One product issued by NWS for:

Freeze Watch
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1034 PM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013

NYZ001>006-010-011-013-014-019-085-131045-
/O.CON.KBUF.FZ.A.0001.130514T0400Z-130514T1200Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1034 PM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...MOST OF WESTERN NEW YORK...EXCLUDING WYOMING
  COUNTY AND INTERIOR SECTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S AWAY FROM THE
  IMMEDIATE LAKESHORE.

* IMPACTS...IF SUCH TEMPERATURES OCCUR...THESE WILL LIKELY
  DAMAGE OR KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$