The Last one is http://theweathercentre.blogspot.com/2013/01/stratospheric-analysis-and-forecast.html
Below is my article.
Now my judgment, I know a lot about forecasting the weather,
and the above topic is way beyond my knowledge. I do know that I looked at the
ECMWF or European Models for predicting the weather. I looked at the ECMWF
Monthly Control. This model is a model that goes out 30 days and is updated
every Thursday AM. The ECMWF is one of the elite models when forecasting. The
next is the American Model known as the GFS. Now when I looked at the ECMWF
Monthlies it showed severe cold in the 850 MB Level or about 1200 Feet off the
Earth. The time frame is between January 27 – February 6. The coldest as of now
is on February 1 and 2. The peak temperatures could bottom out at -30 Degrees +
Celsius at the 850 MB Level. I would share the picture, but due to the govern
laws prohibit me from reproducing them. You can find them from only one public
source at proa.accuweather.com. AccuWeather Professional is a paid service for
weather buffs like me. At -30 Degrees + Celsius we could see low temperatures
as cold as -10 F or colder. This is our high temperature in Buffalo at an 850
MB Temperature of -30 C. This in combined with a wind event could spawn life
threatening conditions. During January 27 – February 6 will start off with a
major winter storm with severe weather in the Southeast and a Major Winter
Storm in the Great Lakes into the Northeastern US. Followed by a very windy
time and even life threatening cold. It will start off with high temperatures
in the lower 20s and lows in the mid-teens. Then highs in the minus single to
double digits and lows much colder. Finally ends with highs in the single
digits above and minus single digits as a low. Stay Tuned!
Andrew Ditch
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