Tuesday, January 8, 2013

Extreme Cold is Possible By End January 2013!

I am not going to get into big details on this, i am just pasting a source link to the main article. This article isn’t written by me but another Andrew from The Weather Center. The First Article ishttp://theweathercentre.blogspot.com/2013/01/severe-arctic-cold-could-mimic-january.html

The Last one is http://theweathercentre.blogspot.com/2013/01/stratospheric-analysis-and-forecast.html 


Below is my article.

Now my judgment, I know a lot about forecasting the weather, and the above topic is way beyond my knowledge. I do know that I looked at the ECMWF or European Models for predicting the weather. I looked at the ECMWF Monthly Control. This model is a model that goes out 30 days and is updated every Thursday AM. The ECMWF is one of the elite models when forecasting. The next is the American Model known as the GFS. Now when I looked at the ECMWF Monthlies it showed severe cold in the 850 MB Level or about 1200 Feet off the Earth. The time frame is between January 27 – February 6. The coldest as of now is on February 1 and 2. The peak temperatures could bottom out at -30 Degrees + Celsius at the 850 MB Level. I would share the picture, but due to the govern laws prohibit me from reproducing them. You can find them from only one public source at proa.accuweather.com. AccuWeather Professional is a paid service for weather buffs like me. At -30 Degrees + Celsius we could see low temperatures as cold as -10 F or colder. This is our high temperature in Buffalo at an 850 MB Temperature of -30 C. This in combined with a wind event could spawn life threatening conditions. During January 27 – February 6 will start off with a major winter storm with severe weather in the Southeast and a Major Winter Storm in the Great Lakes into the Northeastern US. Followed by a very windy time and even life threatening cold. It will start off with high temperatures in the lower 20s and lows in the mid-teens. Then highs in the minus single to double digits and lows much colder. Finally ends with highs in the single digits above and minus single digits as a low. Stay Tuned!

Andrew Ditch

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